Making Sound Decisions Under Uncertainty
Make more robust decisions in the face of incomplete information, risk and cognitive biases.
What will you take into your practice?
A good outcome is not always evidence of a good decision. Form a judgment in a business case with incomplete information, then revisit it as new evidence arrives. Practice tools for recognizing judgment errors, using base rates and uncovering hidden risks.
Learning outcomes
- Distinguish decision quality from outcome quality.
- Recognize common judgment errors.
- Incorporate base rates into predictions.
- Structure decisions under uncertainty.
- Use premortems to identify hidden risks.
Who is it for?
Middle and senior managers, business unit leaders and high-potential professionals.
Session agenda
- 01
Interactive opening decision dilemma
20 minutes
- 02
Judgment traps and decision quality
20 minutes
- 03
Case exercise with new information
30 minutes
- 04
Decision frameworks and tools
30 minutes
- 05
Application and Q&A
20 minutes
YOUR INSTRUCTOR
Kerem Kılıç
Kerem Kılıç holds a PhD in Strategy from HEC Paris and an MSc in Management and Strategy from the London School of Economics. A former Sabancı University faculty member, he works in executive education, strategic decision-making and innovation. He has completed Harvard Business School case-method program development training.
These details describe the instructor’s academic and professional background. Programs are delivered by Stratify and are not accredited, endorsed or certified by the named universities.
Meet the instructor →Frequently asked questions
What is the language and format?
All sessions are live, online and delivered in Turkish. Case discussions and exercises require active participation. Dates and times use Europe/Istanbul (UTC+3).
How do membership and joining details work?
Create a free account and verify your email to continue to checkout. Your enrollment opens in Companion after payment is confirmed. Joining details, readings and learning tools are shared in the session area as they become available.
What does the three-session bundle include?
The bundle provides one place for the same participant at each of the three scheduled sessions. The eligible bundle fee applies automatically when all three are in your cart. Duplicate registrations are not permitted.
What are the cancellation and refund terms?
Review the pre-contract information, distance service agreement and cancellation/refund terms before purchase. Send requests with your order reference to our contact address. Requests concerning part of a bundle are reviewed under the bundle terms and your statutory rights.
Does enrollment include certification or bespoke advisory?
Enrollment covers the live learning experience and listed participant tools. No recording or certificate is promised. Organizational diagnosis, company-specific cases and follow-up support belong to our corporate programs.
Looking for a program tailored to your organization?
Our live executive workshops offer open-enrollment learning through shared business cases, interactive discussion and practical tools. Our corporate programs include organizational diagnosis, customized cases, company-specific applications and follow-up support.
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